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Peer Response 3

· response should be a minimum of 75 words.


PEERS RESPONSE:

I have chosen statistical syllogisms. A statistical argument is an argument involving statistics either in the premise or conclusion. A statistical syllogisms is the form for a statistical argument of X% of S are P, i is an S , therefore i is probably a P. When something has a larger percentage statistically the outcome will lean in that favor. You are using a general statistic to make an argument for a specific case. An example of a statistical syllogisms would be

99.3% of people who live in Murietta, California own a car

Mary lives in Murietta, Ca

Therefore, Mary owns a car

The likelihood of Mary owning a car is very high. Is there a chance she does not own a car? Yes there is, but statistically it is most likely that Mary probably owns a car. A weak example of a statistical syllogism would be an argument with a lower percentage or your conclusion has a higher variable to be wrong. For Example:

65% of adults in the United States identifies as Christian

Bob lives in the United States

Bob is Christian.

In this example, the percentage is high, so Bob should be Christian. However, there are just too many variables for this to be true. This is a weak argument in my opinion.